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Working Papers | 1995

Synthetic Daily Rainfall Data Generation

Girja Sharan and Kumar M Krishna

Long sequences of daily rainfall are often needed for simulation. These (when available) are cumbersome to input. Also in many cases historical data are to short to include all possible patterns. Hence the need for synthetic data. Discovering the stochastic structure underlying daily rains is the key to devising method for synthetic generation of data. Some works have been reported that treat daily rains as multi-state Markov chain. This is useful in studies where one needs for instance the distribution of only the dry and wet spells etc. However, for use in simulation of run-off from a watershed, or for moisture budgeting and crop planning, or for scheduling of irrigation etc. one needs the magnitudes of rainfall and not just an interval. For these applications it appears necessary to look at daily rains as a Markov process as was done for instance by Carey and Haan for Kentucky. In this paper we report the results of using C&H method to generate synthetic data for Panchmahals district of Gujarat, a drought-prone area.

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Working Papers | 1995

From Inspection Systems to Peer Learning: Teacher Development in Primary Education

Vijaya Sherry Chand and Shukla Shailesh R

The inspection system is a visible link between the large numbers of village-based teachers and the district-level administration. While it may be successful in its 'school audit' function, dissatisfaction with the system seems to be related to its inability to play a 'teacher development' role. Perhaps this failure is not of the inspection system, but of the mechanisms for teacher development. Other institutional mechanisms like the panchayati district education committee, the in-service training opportunities currently provided, or the meetings of school complexes and the pay-centre schools are unable to pay attention to teacher development issues. An alternative to such “top down” mechanisms is necessary. A perspective which puts the practices of teachers first can lead to decentralized “peer learning systems”. These systems – teacher driven and controlled – can drawn on resources already available within existing information systems, for instance, the contributions of outstanding teachers or insights from the inspection reports. District-level management systems like the inspection set-up or in-service training centres, whether bureaucratic or panchayati, can play a supportive role in the financing and monitoring of such initiatives. Such a perspective can also provide an understanding of how, in the context of the current debate on democratic decentralization, a partnership between the teaching community, the administration and panchayati raj institutions can be solved.

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Working Papers | 1995

Seed Industry in India: An Analysis of Status

Gurdev Singh and Asokan S R

Seed industry in India has been making great strides since independence. The government through policy initiatives helped the development and growth of the nascent industry. As a result quality seed production which was just 0.18 million quintals in 1953-54 has risen to 5.3 million quintals in 1992-92. Although the growth seems impressive, quality seed production has been far below the requirement for most of the crops. This paper examines the government policies for seed and analysis the performance of the three sub-systems of the seed system to highlight their strengths and weaknesses and constraints to the growth of the industry.

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Working Papers | 1995

Resource Mobilisation Strategies for Financing of Transport Infrastructure and Services

Prem Pangotra and G. Raghuram

Transport infrastructure development in India has been slow and unsatisfactory due to the excessive dependence on budgetary support from the State and due to the dominance of state controlled enterprises. Future investment requirements need much greater mobilisation of resources than that accomplished in the past. This paper reviews the Indian experience of infrastructure investment allocations, performance of parastatals and major policy makers. It provides a framework for formulating “unbundling strategies” for increased private sector participation in the financing of investment and provision of transport services.

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Working Papers | 1995

Restricted Expansion Independence for Choice Problems

Lahiri Somdeb

In this paper we propose restricted expansion independence as a criterion which may be satisfied by desirable choice functions and axiomatically characterize the proportional solution by using this criterion. We also show that the proportional solution satisfies an improvement sensitivity property on a reasonable domain. The theory of solutions to choice problems is used in the paper to define solutions for coalitional bargaining problems.

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Working Papers | 1995

An Investigation into Utility of Electrical Back-Up in Box Cooker

Girja Sharan

Systematic efforts to promote the use of box solar cookers began in 1979 in Gujarat, along with similar efforts in other parts of the country. During this 15 year period only about 34,000 units have been sold in Gujarat. This is much better than other states. But on absolute basis this number is very small compared to the vast number of households, who live in rural areas, use wood as fuel and experience great difficulty in getting it. Thus solar cooker is yet a long way from becoming a substitute for conventional devices. It is argued that if the cooker can be made less vulnerable to climatic factors, its acceptability will increase. With this in view, the utility of a built-in backup source is explored in this paper.

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Working Papers | 1995

Industrial Technological Development and Technology Institution-Firm Interaction: Reflections on a Multi-Industry Study in India

Chaudhari Shekhar and M. R. Dixit

Since Independence the government of India has given considerable importance to the development of a strong and autonomous scientific and technological base. In fact India has an enviable S&T infrastructure by developing country standards. Nevertheless, it has been widely perceived that the level of utilisation of research conducted by national research laboratories has not been satisfactory. This paper reports the major findings of a study of industrial technological development and technology institution-firm interaction in India conducted as part of an international study covering seven sectors: Auto Components, Foundry, Machine Tools, Pharmaceuticals, Polymers software and Textiles. Finally the paper drawn some implications for technology institutions in the country.

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Working Papers | 1995

Blowing ten Myths About Agroforestry: Restoring the Productivity of Marginal Dry Regions

Anil K. Gupta

I discuss ten myths about why agroforestry systems may or may not work in a particular manner. It is obvious that while blowing these myths I may have caricatured the reality a bit too harshly. The purpose only is to stress that there is no substitute to restoring the place of agro-forestry systems in any scheme of rehabilitating degraded lands in arid and semi-arid regions and other marginal regions. Not only that, even conservation of non-degraded lands would require recognizing the potential of agro-forestry systems. The lack of attention to its role in most watershed programs only highlights the enormous task of educating policy planners lying ahead of us. I also argue that we would not be able to do very much if we do not draw upon indigenous knowledge systems, local cultural and ecological basis of historical evolution of agro-forestry and agro-horticulture systems. The need for strengthening some of the top level land use planning and implementation mechanisms cannot be over stressed. After all certain kinds of changes require greater degree of unlearning at top level than at the lower level. People at grassroots level have known about the importance of the agro-forestry and agro-horticulture systems for a long time. If they have not persisted with it in many areas, reasons must not be traced in their ignorance or 'improvidence'. The macro-level policies of tenure, harvesting rights, technological back stopping, market incentives etc., will have to be put properly in place. The ten myths discussed in this paper are: 1) Privatization of common lands leads to sustainable agro-forestry based land use, 2) Poor people have shorter time frame and have lesser trees in and around their fields, 3) Poor people need fast growing species because they cannot wait for too long, 4) Agro-forestry can survive entirely through market incentitives, 5) Capital support for undertaking agroforestry is adequate, the basic problem is lack of demand, 6) Agroforestry is a new concept and, therefore, farmers need to be trained and motivated, 7) Agroforestry systems can be designed primarily on the basis of soil physical properties independent local socio-cultural traditions and values, 8) The model of green revolution in wheat and rice can be replicated in the agroforestry systems as well, 9) Viable agroforestry systems require emphasis on 'Multi-Purpose Tree Species' (MPTS) and 10) National land use policies and institutional arrangements are robust and conducive for promotion of agroforestry systems in marginal as well as other regions.

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Working Papers | 1995

Bureaucracies and Economic Reforms: Experience in India, China and South Korea

Chowdhury Supriya Roy

This paper draws mainly upon research in the state of Gujarat focussing both on administrative reform and the bureaucracy's response to a changing economic policy environment in the context of liberalization. For a comparative focus, the paper also draws on material on the Chinese and South Korean bureaucracies in the context of structural adjustment programmes in these countries. In both India and China higher echelons of the bureaucracy have responded positively and even helped shape liberalization policies; middle and lower rungs of the state services have remained largely ignorant of the economic reforms and have frequently resisted liberalization as a perceived threat to their powers. In both these countries, in varying degrees, the ideological and institutional heritage of a pronouncedly statist model of development have created pockets of resistance within bureaucracies to economic liberalization. On the other hand, the authoritarian nature of the military dictatorship in South Korea has made it relatively easy for the state to push through administrative reforms in the context of structural adjustment. The material reviewed points to the fact that a comprehensive set of policies notwithstanding, the actual process of economic reform may be obstructed by lack of understanding, opposition – over or otherwise, or at least foot dragging, by personnel who remain ultimately responsible for its implementation. The paper draws attention to the centrality of educative programmes, targeted particularly at middle and lower levels of bureaucracies, as an instrument of socializing state officials to a new set of roles in a changing policy context.

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Working Papers | 1995

The Logarithmic Relative Egalitarian Solution: An Axiomatic Characterization

Lahiri Somdeb

In this paper we propose and axiomatically characterize the Logarithemic Relative Egalitarian Solution for social choice problems.

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