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Working Papers | 1991

A Valuation Model for Indeterminate Convertibles

Jayanth R. Varma

Many issues of convertible debentures in India in recent years provide for a mandatory conversion of the debentures into an unspecified number of shares at an unspecified time; the conversion ratio (i.e., the number of shares per debenture) is to be determined by the Controller of Capital Issues (CCI). There are serious problems in arriving at a rational value for these "indeterminate convertibles". Even if the investor can make some estimate of the likely conversion terms, there is no valuation model available to arrive at a price. This paper applies the general theory of derivative securities (Cox, Ingersoll and Ross, 1985) to obtain a valuation model for these instruments. The model shows that the naive valuation model which sets the value of the debenture equal to the current stock price times the expected conversion ratio is likely to be a significant overestimate of the price. It also shows that changes in the stock price lead to less than proportionate changes in the debenture price unlike in the case of pre-specified conversion terms. Similarly, the CAPM beta of the debenture would be significantly lower than that of the share. While the model does not obviate the need for obtaining estimates of unobservable parameters related to the market expectations about the likely conversion ratio, the qualitative insights given by the model are quite useful. The model is successful in explaining some of the empirical patterns and anomalies that have been observed in ongoing empirical research into the market prices of these debentures.

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Working Papers | 1991

Market Valuation Model Under Differential Taxes, Inflation, Recurring Investments and Flotation Costs

Ragunathan V and Jayanth R. Varma

The extent literature on valuation identifies several important variables affecting the value of a firm. These include, corporate and personal taxes, reinvestments, leverage, dividend policy, and inflation. But, most of the papers have focussed only on a small number of these variables at a time and constructed comparatively simple valuation models designed to answer relatively limited questions in valuation theory. However, the fact remains that the above variables interact in quite complex ways, and it is necessary to have a comprehensive valuation model which captures most of the complexities and subtleties of real world corporate finance. This paper is an attempt at developing such a model. The model is capable of supporting both the Gordon and MM type assumptions about the investment policy of the firm. It allows for personal taxes with differential tax rates for dividends, interest and capital gains. The model also takes into account flotation costs on debt and equity. Further, unlike other models which define capital gains as the increase in the book value which in turn equals retained earnings, this model interprets capital gains as the increase in the market value of the share. Finally, the model is modified to take into account Lintner's concern about inflation eroding the real value of the firm's assets, particularly, net monetary working capital. The paper also numerically depicts the impact of manifold taxes on valuation and the complex interactions of different variables in influencing the firm value.

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Working Papers | 1991

Biodiversity and Poverty Vis-à-vis Biotechnology and Prosperity

Anil K. Gupta

The debate on intellectual property rights of third world farmers, pastoralists and artisans has almost always been guided by the fear that the industry in the developing countries (particularly drug industry) would be wiped out if patent rights demanded by the western companies were granted. This position, I contend, stems from inability of the elite scientists and policy planners in these countries to recognise the strength of the indigenous knowledge systems. It is assumed that there is no knowledge reserve in these developing countries which can provide a bargaining strength to these countries. I argue that this is neither a very sensible position nor very useful one while negotiating on this subject. There is a tremendous richness in the knowledge systems of the developing society much of which is in great demand. Unfortunately we have not realised its importance. The results is our excessive dependence on imported technologies and lack of development of indigenous capacities. I also share the dilemma of a third world researcher who by documenting such richness of local knowledge tries to make the farmers' wisdom a common property. Whether this tactical effort would make third world planners shift their stand, agree to sign the convention, patent all the land races, file cases for royalty from companies using any of these plants and refuse the concept of biodiversity as a common heritage remains to be seen. DNA finger printing as a biotechnological tool can be a means of establishing the relationship between patented land races and any new plant variety. The paper also argues that biodiveristy is rich in the regions of high environmental risks such as drought, floods, hailstorm etc. Without protecting the knowledge resources of the people in these regions, extraction of their knowledge poses serious ethical and professional dilemma.

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Working Papers | 1991

Mastershares: Market Prices Divorced From Fundamentals

Samir K. Barua and Jayanth R. Varma

The shares of a closed-end Mutual Fund may be regarded as derived securities because their value depends entirely on the prices of securities that comprise the fund portfolio. Therefore, the Net Asset Value (NAV) of these shares, after adjustments for winding up costs, can be regarded as their fundamental value. In an efficient market, the prices of these shares would move in line with the changes in their NAV. This paper examines the relationship between the price and the NAV of Mastershares, the first closed-end fund in India. The investigations revealed that there is excessive volatility in prices, not justified by the fluctuations in the NAV. The price also show a mean reverting behaviour. These observations are in line with recent works on irrationality in pricing of securities and emphasize the doubts raised about efficacy of standard test for market efficiency.

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Working Papers | 1991

Option Trading: A Primer and a Proposal

Gupta Ramesh

The option industry has witnessed explosive growth since 1973 when the first organized option exchange opened in Chicago. Moreover, this growth is continuing into the 1990s as entirely new types of options are created and as more of the traditional options on securities are listed and traded. Options on commodities, options on financial indices and options on future contracts are all exciting new products. Understanding these new products well enough to sell them has been straining the capacity of the world security industry. At present, instruments prevalent in India are meant primarily to raise resources from public for corporate sector. We hardly have any mechanism or instruments which would help the investors in managing the risk commensurate with their preferences. It is high time that option trading is launched in Indian stock exchanges. This paper provides a primer on option trading and a preliminary proposal for its implementation in India. For successful launching of option trading in India we would require the following: 1 The standardization of the terms of option contracts. 2 The careful selection of underlying security. 3 The appointment of a number of market makers with adequate financial resources. 4 The creation of an Option Clearing House as the single guarantor of every exchange traded option. 5 The creation of an active secondary market. 6 The creation of a central market place with its attendant regulatory, surveillance and price dissemination capabilities. 7 The creation of paperless trading and book-entry transfer system.

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Working Papers | 1991

Gantt Chart Colouring

V. Venkata Rao and Prasad C Syam

This paper presents three rules for colouring of a Grant Chart that displays the machine and job schedules of a job shop. These rules have been used on the job schedules of a real job shop and the performance of the proposed rules has been measured with respect to four different data sets of the above job shop. Of the three rules the rule based on the jobs using the critical machines performed most satisfactorily according to the measure of performance used. This measure of performance is based on the principle of proper colouring according to which operations of the same job should receive the same colour, while neighbouring operations of a machine should receive different colours. The paper also proposed the concept of degree of neighbourliness which may form the basis for new heuristics for colouring.

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Working Papers | 1991

Seed Replacement Practices

Gurdev Singh and Asokan S R

One important reason for low demand for quality seeds is the reportedly low seed replacement rate especially in case of non-hybrids. To investigate the reasons for such practices followed by the farmers is the main objective of this pilot study conducted in Faridkot district of Punjab. The study revealed that contrary to the belief a majority of farmers replace seed of all major crops within four years. In fact, the replacement was reported quicker than the perceived recommended replacement schedule in almost all crops. Even the perceived replacement schedule was much shorter than four years. In some crops majority of them replaced seed every year. However, the seed used by the farmers was rarely of standard quality (certified/labelled). Non-availability of quality seed of crops like cotton was the main reason for use of substandard seed. This may be the factor behind low expected yield as the reason for replacement which often occurs quicker than expected.

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Working Papers | 1991

Strategic Planning Practices of Small Scale Enterprises

Ramachandran K

Although there is some evidence to suggest that small scale enterprises also make strategic plans, there is still a lot of suspicion about its usefulness for small firms. The basic question is that given their level of operations and resource structure what kind of planning is possible in small firms. This study covering 117 small scale enterprises located in Ahmedabad attempts to answer some of the questions related to strategic planning practices of such firms. It is observed that most of the firms do undertake analysis of the constituents of the environment such as suppliers of materials, customers and implications of government policy changes. They also undertake analysis of their own strengths and weaknesses. Their planning horizon, however is limited to six months. It appears that considering their limited level of operations, and need to respond to environmental forces rather quickly, there is need to have speed and flexibility in planning and it may be because of this reason, at least partly that their plans are for short periods. Also there could be lack of awareness of the usefulness and importance of systematic planning. The paper also reports findings on the sources of information, frequency of review and related matters.

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Working Papers | 1991

Existence of Efficient and Egalitarian Efficient Tax Allocations

Lahiri Somdeb

In this paper, we study an optimal tax allocation problem where the utility of each agent depends on his own income as well as on the income of the other tax payers. The objective of the government is seen as maximizing tax incidence without subjecting the tax payers to too much hardship (sacrifice). In this framework we prove the existence of efficient tax allocations and subsequently we go on to establish the existence of egalitarian-efficient (i.e. equal sacrifice and efficient) tax allocations, under mild assumptions.

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Working Papers | 1991

A Performance Appraisal of Human Resource Development Function in Indian Organisations: A Preliminary Survey

T. V. Rao

The HRD function has gained a lot of momentum in the last decade. An earlier survey conducted in 1984 indicated that a number of HRD sub-system were being initiated in Indian industry. A detailed questionnaire was developed covering 94 different activities or tasks the HRD staff or those in-charge could undertake in any organization. This questionnaire was administered to 61 HRD staff form public sector and private sector organizations. The questionnaire assessed how well each of the 94 activities/tasks are being performed as perceived by the respondents. Their assessment indicates there are more similarities than differences in the way the HRD function is being performed in both public and private sector organizations. The study also indicates that conducting human process research, mobilising unions and associations to play a role in HRD and effective monitoring of HRD implementation are perceived as being performed inadequately in these organizations. Overall, while HRD function has caught up, it has a long way to go to be near "excellence".

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