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Working Papers | 1986

Expected Performance in Human/Computer Applications as a Function of User Proficiency and Systems Power

Norman Kent L and Singh Ramadhar

Managers and students of management in India predicted performance in human/computer system from information about the user's proficiency with computers and the power of the system. User proficiency was defined as the user's ability to work with computers; and system power was defined as the computer's ability to store, retrieve, and analyze data. Five different models were proposed for how used proficiency and system power are expected to determine performance. These were (a) a matching model in which optimal performance is achieved when the power of the system is judged to be compatible with the proficiency of the user, (b) an averaging model in which expected performance is the average of the values of user proficiency and system power, (c) a multiplying model in which performance is the product of the values of user proficiency and system power, (d) a human/computer ratio model in which performance is determined by the ratio of system power over total effort, and (e) a computer/human ratio model in which performance is determined by the ratio of user proficiency over total effort. Participants rated 16 combinations of user proficiency and system power from a 4 x 4 factorial design. The pattern of ratings indicated that 51 percent used a multiplying model and 25 percent used an averaging model; whereas, only 6 percent used the matching model and 4 percent used a ratio model. The remaining 14 percent did not follow any model clearly. Implications of these results were discussed for the design of the human/computer interface, training and selection of users, and the cost-benefit trade-offs for investment in user training versus equipment acquisition.

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Working Papers | 1986

Casual Linkages Among Dimensions of Perceived Organizational Environment

Khandwalla P N

The paper highlights the importance of environmental perceptions of management for a strategic contingency theory of organizational functioning. Based on data from 75 Indian organizations, the paper examines the temporal stability of environmental perceptions and the potential causal linkages between perceptions of ten dimensions of the organization's operating environment. Based on identified casual linkages, the environmental dimensions are classified into strategic, transmitter, instrumental, and isolated. A causal network is constructed. Distinction is drawn between the direct and network organizational effects of changes in environmental perceptions. Implications are drawn for a dynamic organization theory. The paper concludes with some emergent hypotheses.

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Working Papers | 1986

Sources of Economic Growth in India Implied by the Seventh Five Year Plan 1985-90

Ravindra H. Dholakia

Working Papers | 1986

Analysis of (S, s) Inventory System with Decaying Items

Srivastava Prabha and N. Ravichandran

This article obtains the stationary distribution of the inventory level of an (S, s) inventory model with decaying items. The demand to this inventory system is governed by a general renewal process. Items decay at a constant rate independently and identically. When the inventory reduces to a level

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Working Papers | 1986

A Study of the Problem of Improving the Utilization of the Non-Suburban Passenger Fleet in Indian Railways

G. Raghuram

This paper studies the problem of improving the utilization of the non-suburban passenger fleet of the Indian Railways. The constant growth of the non-suburban passenger traffic outstrips the additions provided to the fleet, which any way is an expensive proposition. The improvement in utilization is sought to be effected by using the fleet more often for the desired services. The paper identifies three constraints that influence the utilization : (i) composition requirements (ii) maintenance requirements and (iii) traffic delays. The need to standardize the composition of services and provide proper maintenance norms is highlighted. A methodology is proposed using OR techniques to evaluate current solutions and improve the same to optimality. A framework is suggested for analysing the implementability of the solutions. The paper also demonstrates a methodology to exploit the fact that there are usually a large number of optimal solutions. This involves using a secondary objective function to select a preferred solution.

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Working Papers | 1986

Monitoring the Government Policy Environment

M. R. Dixit

Recent favourable and unfavourable changes in the government policies have prompted many corporations to review their corporate strategies. This has pointed to the need for monitoring the government policy environment formally and systematically. This paper discusses the types of influences the government policies can have on the corporate strategy of a corporation and the various steps in developing an in house system for monitoring the government policy environment. It presents the findings of a study aimed at understanding the monitoring practice of large corporations and illustrates how a large diversified company monitors the evens centering around the announcement of the annual budget of the Central Government.

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Working Papers | 1986

Policies for Growth in Fertilizer Consumption: The Next Stage

Desai G M

Annual consumption of fertilizers has increased from less than 100,000 metric tons of nutrients in the early 1950s to 8.2 million metric tons (mmts) by 1984/85. The Seventh Five Year Plan aims at raising it to 14 mmts by 1989/90. The task of accelerating growth in fertilizer consumption extends beyond the Seventh Plan period because virtually all further growth in crop production will have to come from continuous increases in yields and all proven yield-increasing technologies depend on high levels of fertilizer application. Thus the real question concerning the future is not whether but how to accelerate growth in fertilizer us and ensure its maximum effectiveness in crop production. This paper discusses the above question by examining the past experience within a heuristic framework. The single most important conclusion of the paper is as follows: Because of the constraints on lowering prices of fertilizers and also on raising support prices of crops, non-price policies will be more crucial than ever before in determining the pace of future growth in fertilizer consumption. This, however, is no ground for pessimism about acceleration in future growth of fertilizer consumption or defeatist attitude in evolving policies required for the purpose. Under the present price environment, there is a vast scope to accelerate growth in fertilizer consumption through non-price policies which improve efficiency of fertilizer use, shift response functions up wards, and remove deficiencies in agricultural research, extension, and credit as well as fertilizer supply and distinction system.

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Working Papers | 1986

National Demand and Regional Industralization

Ravindra H. Dholakia

Interstate disparity in the industrial output has been increasing in India in spite of our planned efforts to reduce the same. Out policies in this regard were based on the growth theories emphasising the role of factor supplies, particularly investment. It is argued here that such an approach is most likely to lead to the wastage of scarce national resources in the sense of sacrificing growth without reducing the disparities. Indian data seem to support demand oriented theories which suggest quite different planning and policy measures to tackle the problem.

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Working Papers | 1986

On Regionalizing a National Inter-Industry table

Nanda K. Choudhry and Ravindra H. Dholakia

In this paper we have proposed and evaluated a new non-survey method whereby a national input-output coefficient matrix may be decomposed into a set of regional input-output coefficients matrices. The method is based on the technique of generalised inverse. It obeys certain restrictions that have intuitive plausibility. To evaluate the method proposed here, the Canadian national and regional data for the year 1974 have been used. Dalvi and Prasand (1981, 1982) demonstrated that their method of using the Moore Penrose generalised inverse to regionalise the national table was found more efficient than the popular RAS method. We demonstrate in this paper that the method proposed by us here is more satisfactory than the one proposed by Dalvi and Prasad both in terms of its economic implications as well as its empirical performance.

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Working Papers | 1986

Wage Share in Indian Manufacturing Industries: 1961 to 1978-79

Verma Pramod

The objective of this study is to test the hypothesis that the share of wages in net value added will tend to decline in the early stages of industrial development. The data are drawn from the Annual survey of industries. An attempt has been made to examine the trend in share of wages in value added over the period 1961 to 1978-79. The likely impact of capital intensity and ratio of salaried staff to total employees on the wage share has also been assessed. Based on inter-industry data, the cross section studies have been carried out for three different period, viz., 1961, 1971 and 1978-79. It is concluded that the declining trend in wage share could be explained by the increasing trends in capital intensity and the ratio of salaried staff to total employees.

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