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Working Papers | 1981

Some Aspects of U.S. Textile Import Policy Relating to Selected Developing Asian Countries

Wadhva Charan D

This paper highlights some aspects of the practice of discrimination by the United States of America in its import policy for regulating the imports of "textiles" (including textiles and clothing) from selected developing Asian Countries under bilateral agreements within the framework of the current Multi Fiber Arrangement (MFA). We have selected five such countries for special study, namely, Hong Kong, China (Taiwan), Republic of Korea, India and Thailand. These countries have been selected for illustrating the effects of the relative degree of restrictions imposed by the U.S. in its current bilateral agreements with three different types of suppliers from the so-called "low cost" developing countries. The first three countries represent the category of "major suppliers", the fourth one represents "middle level suppliers" and the last one represents the category of "new" or "marginal suppliers". This paper presents the preliminary findings of the research on this subject being conducted by the author. It is divided into three sections. Section I briefly provides the background to the evolution of the U.S. textile import policy particularly towards Asian countries and the performance of the U.S. economy relating to the "textiles" sector as well as the effects of changes in the U.S. policies on its imports from the selected developing Asian countries. The period covered is 1973 to 1980. Section II presents a critical analysis of some of the effects of discriminatory U.S. textile import policy surveyed in Section I. A few concluding remarks are offered for further examination in Section III relating to the future policy options on the MFA in general and the U.S, Textile import policy in particular. On the basis of the evidence presented, this paper concludes that in implementing MFA-II (covering the period 1978-81), the U.S. has made it more restrictive than MFA-I (covering the period 1974-77). The developing Asian countries belonging to the categories of "major suppliers" and "middle level suppliers" have been systematically discriminated against by the U.S. in recent years. This has caused considerable dislocation to their economies which is neither adequately recognized nor compensated by the U.S, (and other countries practising such discrimination). Considering the improved performance of the U.S. textile and apparel industries in recent years, the paper urges the U.S. Government to liberalise restraints bilaterally and also help to get a more liberal MFA extended with mechanisms to strengthen its truly multilateral character. A few suggestions are made for this purpose.

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Working Papers | 1981

A Note on (S, s) Inventory Policy

N. Ravichandran

This article obtains the stationary distribution of the stock level of a continuous review (S,s) Inventory policy with the following characteristics. The demand rate is a constant and unit quantity is demanded whenever there is a demand. When the stock level reduces to an order for (S-s) units is placed which materialises after a random time; the lead time is assumed to have a distribution of PH-type. Further, it is assumed that the demands that arise when the stock level is zero are lost.

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Working Papers | 1981

Intergroup Collaboration: Maximising Your Resource Game

Pareek Udai

Behaviour simulation has been used for teaching various concepts. The paper describes a game which can be used to teach the dynamics of inter-group collaboration. It gives details about the game, how to use it in the classroom, how to process the experiences people have while playing the game and what variations can be used. It also discusses several conceptual dimensions of development of collaboration.

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Working Papers | 1981

Physician and the Family Welfare Concept

Mohan Manendra

This working paper owes its origin to a paper presented by the author at the first Regional Conference on the theme of Population Problem and Family Planning Effort, held at Ahmedabad in November 1980. The genesis of the problem is traced to the overall macro-level planning orientation and in particular a belated recognition of the population problem. In qualitative terms the situation was further aggravated by a strong association of family planning at its initial stages with sterilization. The concept of family welfare emerged as late as 1977. The paper examines and projects the role of physicians in the family welfare effort of a community or nation. The definition of physician is a broad-based one and is not confined largely to Allopathic practitioners as in the case of the series of seminars and conferences held on the subject starting with the Stockholm Conference in 1974. Special attention is given to the role of physician, according to this broad definition, can play in the process of communication. The issues of particular relevance in the context of Indian environment are the age of marriage and the child bearing age. The expectations of the community and the family groups become quite dominant in the decision regarding the family size as well as the time to start the family. This is strongly reflected in a large number of child births at an age which is below the newly stipulated age of marriage for women according to the Child Marriage Restraint (Amendment) Act of 1978. The role of the physicians is projected as that of an effective opinion leader and communicator by virtue of the professional standing and respect enjoyed by them from most sections of the Indian society. This role can be played by the marginal extension of the professional aspect. No less important is the question of social obligation of a physician. Of the various forms of education, medical education depends much more on the society not only for financial and other infrastructure resources but also on availability of human resources as experimental material at times. Potential acceptors of family planning are more likely to be convinced of the welfare aspect, if it is presented to them in an individualized form of communication rather than generalized. That is where the limitation of the mass media comes in. A physician cannot only reassure the target couple/family unit about the worthwhileness of Consumption Guidance, but also prompt them or guide them to select a suitable method. The success of the family welfare programme in India depends a great deal on the voluntary acceptance of the concept and that is where physicians as well as para-medical practitioners and community health workers can be effective in creating substantial motivation amongst the target couples for achieving the overall goals of the nation.

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Working Papers | 1981

Working Capital Trends in India

Pandey I M

This paper analyses the working capital trends in the medium and large manufacturing public limited companies in India during 1970-71 to 1975-76.

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Working Papers | 1981

Private Corporate Investment in Gujarat: The Picture for 1980 and Forecast for 1981

C Rangarajan and Padia Veena

In this paper, an attempt is made to forecast the growth in private corporate investment in Gujarat in 1981. The term 'Corporate Investment' covers gross capital expenditure of all companies in the private and joint sectors. The study also provides a picture of the level and composition of corporate investment in Gujarat in 1980. The methodology used in this paper to forecast corporate investment in Gujarat is similar to the one adopted by the authors for forecasting corporate investment at the all India level. The study reveals that the total capital expenditures by the private corporate sector which includes companies in the private and joint sectors in 1980 in Gujarat would amount to Rs 219 crores. This would constitute 14 per cent of the total capital expenditures the country as a whole. As of now, based on the projects sanctioned until the end of 1980 by the all India term lending institutions and state level institutions the total expenditures in 1981 will be Rs 179 crores. To this we will have to add expenditures that will come out of projects to be sanctioned in 1981 itself. Thus even on a conservative basis, one can expect the corporate investment in 1981 itself. Thus even on a conservative basis, one can expect the corporate investment in 1981 in Gujarat to be around Rs 230 crores which will mean a rise of 5 per cent over the level in1980.

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Working Papers | 1981

A Study of the Wealth Ratios of Indian Companies

Bhattacharya C D

This study seeks to find out the extent to which the shareholders of the top companies in the Indian private sector have been benefitted from the investment they have made. Shareholders' rewards have been measured by the sum of capital appreciation and the total amount of dividends, adjusted for the time value of money. The value of investment thus arrived at is computed for the nine-year period ending 1979. The wealth ratio indicates the value of investment at 1979 year end to what it was in 1971 year end. The ten companies selected in the present study are then ranked in terms of their wealth ratios. Next, in order to find out if there is any relationship between the wealth ratio and return on investment, the average ROI of the companies for the nine-year period have been computed. The rank correlation test establishes a positive association between wealth ratio and the average ROI. Shareholders' rewards measured either in terms of wealth ratio or return on investment can therefore be effective indicators of the profitability of the investment. At the same time these measures may evaluate the performance of the companies during a particular period.

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Working Papers | 1981

A Study on the Share Valuations of Indian Companies

Bhattacharya C D

Different share valuation methods are suggested by the Central Board of Direct Taxes for wealth tax purposes. While market price of shares is widely regarded as the fair market value of the shares of quoted companies, the break up value is advocated in the case of units which are ripe in liquidation. In the case of growth companies, the earnings or dividend paying capacity is considered to be a better value indicator. Is there any relationship between all these valuation methods? This study shows that all these methods excepting the yield method are highly associated with each other. They can be relied upon without making much discrimination. The study can, however, be extended to the companies of lower size. It is also possible to extend it to shares which are unquoted.

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Working Papers | 1981

Marketing, Yes, Creative Marketing of Special Bearer Bonds

Mehta Subhash C and Bhatt Udayan

The paper examines the marketing tasks involved in case full potential of the special bearer bonds which is being introduced by the Government of India to mop up undeclared money that is accumulated in the economy. The paper examines the major attributes of the scheme and relates these to the market segments to which it is directed at. It then analyses the expected behaviour of the market segment, their specific needs in terms of information, distribution and then develops an overall marketing programme which would help in tapping adequate share of the unaccounted money through this scheme. The paper also examines the side effects of the scheme on the general public who have been paying their taxes honestly and recommends appropriate marketing actions to reduce the extend of these side effects. The paper concludes by making a case for allocating a marketing budget for the promotion of the scheme so that consumer is helped in moving from an initial stage of awareness to purchase decision and handling post-purchase feelings. The paper thus demonstrates the application of marketing concept and approach to an issue of critical public policy area and thus can be classified as an attempt to examine a metamarketing issue.

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Working Papers | 1981

Conflict Between Employment and Inflation: Theory and Facts

C Rangarajan

Is there a trade-off between inflation and employment? Can policy-makers generate more employment through a deliberate policy of inflation? These questions have been debated at length since the introduction of the celebrated Philips Curve which empirically showed a negative relationship between the rate of change in money wages and unemployment rate. The Philips curve, as its best, is an explanation of the trade-of between wage changes and employment in a disequilibrium situation. Int he long run, such a trade-off can exist only if expectations of price changes continually remain below the actual changes. The link between price changes and employment goes beyond the dynamics of the labour markets. The same is true when one thinks of the relationship between price change and growth rate of the economy. In this paper, we have examined the Indian data in relation to price changes and output changes in the industrial sector. Employment and output are well correlated but the rate of growth of the former is lower than that of the latter. In general, it appears that periods marked by sharp increase in price lever are associated with lower growth rates output and years of low price changes with high growth rates in industrial output. A disaggregated analysis of the output and price changes relating to various industry groups also indicates a negative association between price change and output change. There can be several explanations for this phenomenon. Causation can run in either direction. However, the general conclusion is that contrary to the general belief, industrial output has grown faster in periods of small price increases than in periods of high price increases. There is also no evidence to show that price changes have had any effect upon savings.

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IIMA