Faculty & Research

Research Productive

Show result

Search Query :
Area :
Search Query :
3846 items in total found

Working Papers | 2013

Four Factor Model in Indian Equities Market

Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla, Joshy Jacob, and Jayanth R. Varma

We compute the Fama-French and momentum factor returns for the Indian equity market for the October 1993 - December 2013 period using data from CMIE Prowess. We differ from the previous studies on this topic, in the Indian market, in several significant ways. First, we cover a greater number of firms relative to the existing studies. Second, we exclude illiquid firms to ensure that the portfolios are investible. Third, we have classified firms into small and big using more appropriate cut-off considering the distribution of firm size. Fourth, as there are several instances of vanishing of public companies in India, we have computed the returns with a correction for survival bias. During the period from January 1994 to December 2014, the average annual return of the momentum factor was 21.9%; the average annual return on the value portfolio (HML was 15.3%; that of the size factor (SMB) was 15.3%; that of the size factor (SMB) nearly 0%; and the the average annual excess return on the market factor (MRP) was 11.5%. This is a revised version of our earlier paper on this topic. The revision is carried out to primarily accommodate the data of firms which are retrospectively added to the prowess database by CMIE. The time series of daily, monthly and yearly returns of the factors and the underlying portfolios are made available at an online data library. The authors would update the library on a monthly basis.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

A Logarithmic Goal Programming Approach to Develop the Utility Function for Railway Travel

Goutam Dutta, Priyanko Ghosh, and Arushi Wanchoo

A railway passenger faces a dilemma of choosing the best train among several alternatives available in a particular route. A relative comparison of competing railways helps the passenger to make an informed choice before the actual travel. In this paper we develop a utility model for railway travel based on a few important attributes. We carry out an analysis on competing railways for a particular route and calculate the utility score of each railway.
The passengers benefit as they are aware of the relative ranking of a particular train on a particular route before they make their choice and the railways benefit as they are able to estimate the market share of each service using a multinomial logit choice model.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Framework for Structuring Public Private Partnerships in Railways

Rachna Gangwar and G. Raghuram

Structuring Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) in railways is a challenge, given its technology base, and obligation as a public and affordable mode of transportation. The sector provides strong incentives for vertical integration due to economies of scope. However, it is evident from the literature that large integrated PPPs in railways systems are not feasible due to higher commercial risks. They also suffer from implicit cross subsidization since the railway infrastructure is capital intensive, common to multiple revenue sources, and fare box revenues are generally not sufficient to recover investments. This is being addressed by various unbundling approaches in recent PPPs.

This research explores the potential of unbundling the railway system into over 40 'elements' wherein an element is the smallest unit that can be given to a party for execution. This would however result in significant horizontal and vertical interfaces between these elements.

A sustainable PPP would need to limit the extent of interfaces due to transaction costs and risks. This can be achieved by bundling the elements horizontally and/or vertically into 'entities' to extract the best value for a PPP. The governing principles would be scale economies (horizontal integration), scope economies (vertical integration), need for competition (horizontal disaggregation), level playing field, transactional transparency, and need for specialization (vertical disaggregation). Additional drivers would be appetite for investment, availability of competence and accountability for an entity. The findings of the research indicate that the entity formation is one of the most crucial aspects of a PPP in railways.

A consequential critical area is managing the interfaces between entities, which are subject to transaction costs and risks. These should be carefully identified and addressed by well-designed contractual agreements and independent regulation

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Numeracy and Financial Literacy of Forest Dependent Communities Evidence from Andhra Pradesh

B. Sundar and Vineet Virmani

This study is an attempt to measure the numeracy and financial literacy of forest dependent communities (FDCs) in India using data from the two economically different forest communities in the state of Andhra Pradesh. In an attempt to rehabilitate degraded forests, the Government of India launched the joint forest management (JFM) program in 1990 with the involvement of FDCs. This has not only helped increase their income levels, but through interactions with and help of Government officials, have also given them a first-hand exposure to financial management at JFM. While there is some evidence on numeracy and financial literacy of urban and rural households and fishing communities in India, there is no evidence on numeracy and financial literacy of Indian FDCs. This study attempts to fill that gap by providing background on FDCs in two economically different regions of Andhra Pradesh (Rayalaseema and Coastal Andhra) and provides evidence on their numeracy and financial literacy. While the performance on both numeracy and financial literacy differs for the two regions, it is found that the participants scored better on numeracy skills than on financial literacy. It was found that while in general participants had difficulty in recognizing mathematical symbols for addition and multiplication and performing the corresponding operations, they were generally able to perform the same operations when orally instructed in their local language without difficulty. While the empirical evidence on financial literacy is less strong, roughly a third of the participants had some basic knowledge of economic concepts like simple interest and time value of money

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Sensitivity Analysis of the Newsboy Model

Avijit Khanra and Chetan Soman

Sensitivity analysis is an integral part of inventory optimization models due to uncertainty
associated with estimates of model parameters. Though the newsboy problem is one of the
most researched inventory problems, very little is known about its robustness. We study
sensitivity of expected demand-supply mismatch cost to sub-optimal ordering decisions in the
newsboy model. Conditions for symmetry (skewness) of cost deviation have been identied
and magnitude of cost deviation is demonstrated for normal demand distribution. We found the newsboy model to be sensitive to sub-optimal ordering decisions, much more sensitive than the economic order quantity model.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

The Way Out of the Current Macroeconomic Mess: A Note

Sebastian Morris

The current situation of a large CAD, low growth, and plunging rupee is a result the combination of early withdrawal from the fiscal stimulus and the RBI's monetary conservatism. There is possibly a way out if credit can be expanded to close the differential between the low end government bond yields and the repo, accompanied by a large push on investments with an appropriately structured investment tax credit valid for the next twenty four months. It could crowd in investments to attract FDI and portfolio investments and if the RBI does not allow the current rupee to appreciate in real terms then the CAD could close, with reasonable growth as well. Without these actions the holding out operations on the currency by the RBI can at best delay the further fall in the rupee, and growth which would have a await a protracted recovery from the expected rise in exports some six months from now.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Broadening the Concept of Sustainability and Measuring its Impact on Firm's Performance

Bipul Kumar, Piyush Kumar Sinha, P. R. Shukla, and Abhishek

There is an enhanced awareness among the firms regarding the impact of their marketing and business activities on the environment and society largely due to consumer education, the role of activists and aftermath of some disasters. The firms have started to look at these issues in a more holistic manner which is evident from the sustainability practices undertaken by them. In spite of such efforts, their outcomes regarding sustainability efforts are not in line with the expectations, raising the bigger question whether the firms are displaying and enacting right set of behavior towards sustainability. In view of this background, this paper explores the multifaceted behavioral dimension along with its drivers that contribute towards sustainability in a firm. It also endeavours to develop a measure of sustainability for the firms by including behaviour at the firm level as an additional dimension apart from the economy, social and environmental dimension from triple bottom line perspective. The paper also proposes the relationship between sustainability of the firms and performance metrics including marketing metrics. This paper aims to delineate directions for marketers and policy makers with regard to sustainability marketing.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Role of culture in celebrity endorsement:
Brand endorsement by celebrities in Indian context

Abhishek and Arvind Sahay

Celebrity endorsement is a big market in India and continues to grow bigger. However, inspite of prevalent use of celebrities for endorsement, not all celebrity endorsements have been successful. The list of unsuccessful examples suggest that it will be wrong to consider celebrity endorsement as an effective response to media clutter in all situations inspite of the intensity of involvement people have with celebrities in India. In absence of existing celebrity endorsement theories to satisfactorily explain the phenomenon in India, this paper uses the lens of culture to develop propositions on how customer attitude towards celebrity endorsements is a function of cultural parameters in emerging countries like India. We build our argument by using culture to explain the congruence between celebrity and consumers for elaborating celebrity endorsement in Indian markets.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Inter-sectoral Terms of Trade and Aggregate Supply
Response in Gujarat and Indian Agriculture

Ravindra H. Dholakia and Amey Sapre

In this paper we empirically investigate the role of inter-sectoral terms of trade in determining the growth performance of agriculture in Gujarat and All India during the period 1960-2011. Terms of trade reflects price signals and economic incentives for producers and hence could be a determinant of supply response and growth performance of agriculture and the whole economy. We identify structural breaks endogenously in inter-sectoral terms of trade and analyse phase wise growth performance in distinct periods in both Gujarat and all India. Empirical analysis supports the hypothesis that favourable terms of trade for agriculture lead to a higher growth in agriculture and the whole economy. The results show a strong evidence for positive price elasticities of supply in agriculture and almost rules out the possibility of backward bending supply curve. Favourable terms of trade for agriculture are an additional factor for the high growth trajectory of Gujarat agriculture not emphasized in the literature.

Read More

Working Papers | 2013

Academic Research Productivity: What may be "reining"
in the Indian B-School?

Arindam Banerjee

The article points at some historic reasons for poor productivity in research, including unproductive competition among institutions due to a false sense of self sufficiency, lack of adequate research infrastructure at the institution level and, the long standing government policy in India that has considered teaching to be the core activity in our University system. It emphasizes the need for collaborative action across institutions that by themselves do not have the wherewithal to upgrade the quality of research. It also stresses the need to build specialized competence in individual faculty members to strive for excellence in a core academic activity, be it research, teaching or executive training and administration. The traditional view of a faculty being a superior performer in all aspects of academics may not yield the results needed to attain global standards of excellence.

Read More
IIMA